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Last May, I wrote a blog post titled As an Experienced LLM User, I Actually Don’t Use Generative LLMs Often as a contrasting response to the hype around the rising popularity of agentic coding. In that post, I noted that while LLMs are most definitely not useless and they can answer simple coding questions faster than it would take for me to write it myself with sufficient accuracy, agents are a tougher sell: they are unpredictable, expensive, and the hype around it was wildly disproportionate given the results I had seen in personal usage. However, I concluded that I was open to agents if LLMs improved enough such that all my concerns were addressed and agents were more dependable.
On Saturday January 24, Duncan Ferguson walked into the Winslow Hotel pub on Goodison Road and handed licensee Dave Bond £1,000 to put behind the bar. Ferguson, the former Everton centre-forward, was there because the Winslow, 140 years old and standing in the shadow of Goodison Park’s towering Main Stand, was closing. Eight months after Everton’s men left Goodison, this was another farewell party and Ferguson had turned up to say goodbye. “It was a brilliant gesture,” said Bond.
然而，令人费解的是，如果仅从增长率来看，峰值实际上已在2024年到来，而2025年上半年则出现了先下降后上升的趋势，打破了之前的周期性规律。从上图可以看出，两点显而易见：目前的出货量远高于前两个峰值，而且峰值尚未最终确定。